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Weather Report with Phil Thomas

Much colder than normal

Posted on February 28 2018 at 2:00:13 0 comments

Icy lock

Alvechurch amateur weatherman Phil Thomas records the changes.

As we went to press, February had been very much colder than the 30-year mean for this area. We had a few days with snow, though not prolonged or cold enough to lie for any period – but only two nights with no ground frost.

February 2018 (to the 16th)
Mean Max 5.9C   1.2 below average
Mean Min   0.1C   1.0 below average
Mean     3.0C   1.1 below average
Rainfall     25.6mm   49% of average
Sunshine 51.2 hrs 84% of average

January was bland and slightly milder than average, without any extremes of cold or mildness.

There were a few windy periods, including gusts of 51mph on the 3rd and 52mph overnight on the 17/18th. A little snow on a few days, but none that caused any disruption.

January 2018
Mean Max 7.6C 0.9 above average
Mean Min   2.2C   1.0 above average
Mean     4.9C   0.9 above average
Rainfall   86.2mm 126% of average
Sunshine 61.4 hrs 122% of average

Outlook
Writing this on February 16th, forecasters were anticipating a fairly dramatic event in the atmosphere over the Arctic, with the possibility of a fundamental effect on our weather at the end of February and perhaps early March.

Occurring way up in the stratosphere, the event is known as a Sudden Stratospheric Warning, which causes changes to the Jet Stream flow and introduces an east or north-easterly flow of very cold air over western Europe.

However, trying to forecast with any confidence is very difficult. We could yet return to wet and windy conditions – but at least in March the days are getting longer and the sunshine is more powerful.

More information at http://www.alvechurchweather.metsite.com 
You can see an improved HD weather-cam, updated at one-minute intervals, at: http://www.alvechurchweather.metsite.com/webcam_alvechurch.php

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