Weather Report with Phil Thomas

Normal summer is on the cards

Posted on May 27 2014 at 1:21:17 0 comments

Sunshine over Rowney Green

Alvechurch amateur weatherman Phil Thomas records the changes.

After a dry and warm start to the month, the second week of May became much more changeable with a disturbed pattern of weather.

It turned very warm during the middle of the month, with this due to break by the 20th.

Due to an early deadline my data only goes up to the 10th of the month.

May 2014 (to the 10th)
Mean Max   15.2C   1.1 below average
Mean Min   7.2C   0.5 above average
Mean         11.1C   0.4 below average
Rainfall     20.6mm   37% of average
Sunshine 38.8 hours 26% of average

April had been another warmer than normal month, with a mean temperature of 10.3C; 2.1C above the local 30-year mean.

Sunshine and rainfall were very near the monthly mean. Nearly half (30.5mm) of rainfall fell in one day (25th) following a prolonged dry period from the 8th to the 20th.

April 2014
Mean Max   14.3C   1.5 above average
Mean Min   6.2C   2.6 above average
Mean         10.3C   2.1 above average
Rainfall   66.1mm   99% of average
Sunshine 118.8 hours 101% of average

The first four months of 2014 have been averaging approximately 2.0C above the long-term mean temperature, making it the third warmest start to a year since accurate records began to be kept at the end of the 18th century.

Trying to predict how the summer will develop this year is harder than normal. Usually a type of weather pattern develops and, as such, predictions for dry/wet or warmer/colder are much easier to guess.

So the summer of 2014 could be any of the above, which would make it normal for the UK!

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