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Weather Report with Phil Thomas

October stays dry and warm

Posted on November 02 2015 at 1:03:58 0 comments

Frontal cloud

Alvechurch amateur weatherman Phil Thomas records the changes.

As we went to press, October had been a very dry month, with a dry spell from the 7th to the 20th with no measurable rainfall.  There were only five days with rainfall and most of it on only three days, the 5th, 6th and 20th.

Temperatures remained above the local mean, primarily due to cloudy nights and fewer frosts than would be expected keeping the average up.

Sunshine was exactly normal, due to some quite sunny days mixed with dull and grey anti-cyclonic weather with cloud from the east.

October 2015 (to the 23rd)
Mean Max   14.6C 0.7 above average
Mean Min   7.3C   0.9 above average
Mean       11C   0.8 above average
Rainfall     36.3mm   40% of average
Sunshine 73 hours 79% of average

September was a very dry month with rainfall of 33mm, only 54% of the local mean. There were two periods without rain: 5th to 10th inclusive, and 24th to 30th inclusive.

Sunshine was also above the September mean with 157.2 hours, 125% of the local mean. Despite the sunshine and dry weather, temperatures were well below the normal for the month.

September 2015
Mean Max   17.3C   0.9 below average
Mean Min   8.2C   1.4 below average
Mean       12.8C   1.1 below average
Rainfall   33mm   54% of average
Sunshine 157.3 hrs 124% of average

Outlook
The outlook into November appears quite mixed. Computer models are predicting anything from cold snowy weather to wet and windy conditions. Until a pattern settles down it seems very difficult to predict.

There appears to be a cold area of fresh melt water in the North Atlantic as a result of polar/Greenland ice melt this summer, which may bring cooler and more wintry showers from the north west.

But this depends on the Jet Stream’s track, which is very variable at present.

More information at http://www.alvechurchweather.metsite.com 
You can now see an improved HD weather-cam, updated at one-minute intervals, at: http://www.alvechurchweather.metsite.com/webcam_alvechurch.php

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